The flood in Henan, the rainstorm in Shanxi and the high frequency of cold air in North China after autumn have caused abnormal changes in the prices of wheat, corn and eggs. Among them, the price of eggs "broke five and rushed six" during the Mid-Autumn Festival, while the prices of corn and wheat also rose and fell abnormally.
After entering the month of 1 1, both the grain market and the live pig market show a kind of market, that is, there are fluctuations in stability. However, with the arrival of cold weather again, the circulation of corn in the market has been hindered, while the consumption of pork has rebounded.
Both the price of pork and the price of corn are rising continuously. The price of live pigs generally starts with eight characters, and the price of corn will soon rise to the level of 1.5 yuan per catty.
Now, the cold wave weather is coming to an end, and the rain and snow weather in North China and Huanghuai area is coming to an end. Then everyone will be more concerned about a question, that is, after the end of the cold wave, will pig prices and food prices completely change? What will be the specific market trend?
First of all, the price of live pigs should not continue to rise, and the downward trend is likely to make a comeback.
Recently, the price of live pigs in China has risen sharply, so the price of pork in the market will also rise sharply.
In rural areas of many northern and southern provinces, the price of pork has risen to 15 yuan per catty. In southwest and east China, the price of pork has risen to 18 yuan per catty. This means that the pork 20 yuan era will strike again, which will naturally affect the demand of consumers.
As we all know, there will be a traditional season of curing bacon in southwest China around mid-June 165438+ 10. However, due to the relatively low price of pork before, consumers cured bacon in advance, which will inevitably lead to a decline in the motivation of pork consumption in the later period.
Judging from the supply of pigs, although the enthusiasm of farmers is relatively strong, the expansion of pigs is still uncontrollable under the background of the gradual recovery of pig production capacity.
As farmers continue to push back the time, the number of live pigs on the market will further increase. In the month of 5438+ 10, the total number of pigs slaughtered by many domestic slaughter enterprises reached 30.23 million, an increase of11%compared with the data in June 2020. After March this year, the average number of newborn piglets per month exceeded 30 million. From this perspective, the supply of live pigs on the market is still relatively high.
With the sharp rise in pig prices this time, the market in the north has already started in eight characters, and the southern region has generally broken 89%. Pig farmers all think this is a good opportunity to make a profit, and their mood has been further improved. Therefore, after the end of the cold wave weather, the domestic supply of live pigs will further increase, while pork consumption will not increase significantly, so the pig price is likely to enter a downward trend from an upward trend.
In addition, for the price of corn, it is likely to achieve a slight decline.
This year's continuous rise in corn prices has a very obvious supporting force, because fertilizer prices are rising and labor costs are also rising. In addition, the continuous rainfall in North China and Huanghuai areas since autumn has promoted the supply of high-quality corn in the market. Not particularly good.
Under the background of this round of cold wave weather, it will further increase the difficulty of corn supply growth and push corn prices up. It is understood that in many deep processing enterprises in Shandong, the price of corn has reached 2800 yuan to 2980 yuan per ton. However, after the cold wave weather is over, it will promote the increase of corn supply and the arrival of factories, so for corn, the price is likely to be slightly adjusted back.
However, due to the strong feeling of restocking in factories and the time needed to increase the supply of corn in Northeast China, the market demand for high-quality corn has not decreased, and some traders have the idea of increasing inventory, so the price of corn will continue to rise after a short decline. However, after the listing of new corn in Northeast China, it will bring some impact to the market.
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Through the introduction of the above contents, I believe everyone knows how the prices of pork and corn will change in the future. After the cold wave weather, pig prices and food prices will usher in a new watershed. What do you think of this?