These days, the media are concerned about the sinking of the Russian navy cruiser Moscow. This matter is very noticeable. The sinking of this cruiser boosted the morale of Ukrainian soldiers and civilians and also had an impact on the Russian army. But from a military point of view, it has little influence on the Russian-Ukrainian war, because the Black Sea Fleet has little influence on the war situation since the war. Before that, another thing may have a great influence on the war situation, that is, Putin appointed Alexander Dvornikov, commander of the Southern Military Region, as commander of the Ukrainian special military operations theater.
After the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war, although there is no clear answer, it is obvious that there seems to be no unified action in the Russian military's attack in three operational directions, and the action of the air force seems to be a blow to the east and a blow to the west, lacking a unified action plan, let alone comparing it with the military action of the US military. Even if we look back 1945, Marshal Aleksandr Aleksandr Aleksandr Aleksandr Vasilevsky led the Soviet troops into the similar Ukrainian battlefield in northeast China, we will attack and organize the Japanese in the same three operational directions. The command, operation and logistics of this war are so chaotic that people with a little military literacy can't understand it.
General Dvornikov has experienced many wars, including the Chechen War and the Syrian War. He is also the commander of the southern theater. Wudong area is his predetermined operational direction. He should be familiar with the enemy's situation, terrain characteristics, weather, meteorology, hydrology and social conditions in his own combat direction and have a complete campaign support plan and network. Unlike General Chuck's visit to the Eastern War Zone last month, this war zone was used to fight our army. If the General Staff of the Russian Army gives Dvornikov due authority, it can integrate all the combat forces such as the army, navy, air force and militia, as well as the civil affairs forces in Dun and Luz, and form a powerful force, posing a greater threat to the Ukrainian army.
President Zelensky told reporters a few days ago that the length of the war depends on two factors, one is how much weapons and equipment Ukraine can get, and the other is how much sanctions Russia can get. There is some truth in this statement. During the 53-day war, the determination and courage of Ukrainian soldiers and civilians to persist in the war of resistance were confirmed. Ukrainians and Russians have shown the will of unity in the face of Russian invasion, and they rarely cooperate with Russian troops. However, it is not enough to have spiritual strength, and matter needs to be destroyed by matter. Sanctions can only be effective for a long time, so the key factor is how much weapons and equipment Ukraine can get.
Since the Russian troops withdrew from the battlefield in northern Kiev at the end of March, military weapons have been assembled in Wudong. The two sides used artillery and missiles to attack each other, and the bombing operations of the Russian Air Force also increased. The main battlefields were upor and Hellson in Mali, and fierce battles were also launched in KraSi Nuo Horivka, Lisichansk, North Donetsk and PoPasner. But apart from upor in Mali, the firepower of both sides, especially Russia, is fierce, but the offensive and defensive scale of infantry and armored forces is not large.
The fighting in upor, Mali has been going on since the beginning of the war. Many reports that Ukrainian troops surrendered or were destroyed were finally proved to be false. The latest news is that the Ukrainian army has been compressed into a narrow area of the Azov steel plant. The Russian army claimed that there were more than 1000 remnants of the enemy, while the Ukrainian army claimed that there were more than 4,000. No matter how many people there are, these officers and men guarding the city have created miracles in the history of war! Whether it is the Second World War or the wars after the Cold War, a team fought alone, surrounded by the enemy, with no backup and no hope of victory. In the face of strategic bombers, tactical bombers, open spaces, surface-to-surface missiles, heavy artillery, rockets, we use grenades, ground-penetrating bombs, concrete-destroying bombs, warm-pressing bombs, white phosphorus bombs and other powerful ammunition to bomb and hold our ground. Their strong will and spirit of sacrifice have surpassed the heroes who defended the ancestors of Leningrad, Stalingrad, Smolensk and Sevastopol during World War II.
At present, from the perspective of the forces of both sides, there is little difference. According to comprehensive information analysis, the Russian army has concentrated more than 250,000 ground troops, including Russian troops, local separatist forces, Chechen and other armed forces that have been brought into regular operations, excluding militia groups, and about 5,000 tanks and armored vehicles; The Ukrainian army has little information. According to various information, there are about 200,000 regular troops, armed police and reserve forces, and about 1000 tanks and armored vehicles can be put into battle.
The Russian army has air superiority and is equipped with armored assault clusters, which occupies a great advantage. However, the Ukrainian army is equipped with a large number of anti-tank missiles and air defense missiles, which have caused extremely heavy losses to the Russian army since the war. If the Russian army cannot crack the anti-tank and air defense capabilities of the Ukrainian army, the dominant tank cluster and air force will not dare to attack rashly, and they will not be able to encircle the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian army lacks advanced fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, tanks and armored vehicles and heavy artillery. It is not enough to launch a large-scale counterattack and destroy the main force of the Russian army. If this state does not change, the war will definitely drag on.
Last Wednesday, the United States increased a batch of $800 million in weapons aid. From the list, it includes 200 M 1 13 armored personnel carriers, 18 doors 155 mm howitzers and 40,000 shells, 1 1 m-17 helicopters,/ 500 javelin anti-tank individual missiles, 30,000 sets of body armor and helmets, more than 2,000 optical and laser rangefinders, 10 important An /TPQ-36 anti-artillery radar; Two An /MPQ-64 sentinel air surveillance radars, etc.
Judging from the above-mentioned weapons and weapons previously aided, the vast majority of weapons provided by the United States or other NATO countries can only support the defensive operations of the Ukrainian army and cannot support offensive operations. Germany, in particular, is ready to provide Ukraine with 50 Leopard 1 tanks. You should know that the Leopard 1 tank is used against the Soviet T-54/T-55 tank, with a thin skin and a small gun, and the front armor is only about 70mm thick. It can't deal with Russian active tanks at all, and it will only increase the sacrifice of Ukrainian officers and men. No wonder this practice of sending beggars away is disgusting.
? The U.S. Congress has passed a loan bill of $654.38+03.4 billion, authorizing the U.S. government to provide weapons to Ukraine. Now it depends on the courage of Biden's government. As long as the United States dares to provide Ukraine with the same weapons and equipment as the Iraqi and Afghan government forces, Iraq has F- 16 fighter jets, Apache helicopters and M 1A 1 tanks. If the Ukrainian army has these weapons, it will, but Putin still has nuclear weapons in his underwear, which Biden has to consider.
How the war develops depends not only on the level on the battlefield, but also on the political determination of both sides. Now no one can retreat without a fight. Stop immediately after the fight, or both countries will be dragged down.
The whole world is holding its breath for the battle of Donbass. ...