Scientific interpretation: Why does "fortune telling" sound so accurate?

Introduction: What is fortune telling?

Fortune-telling is a common name among the people. The professional academic title is prediction. The academic study of fortune-telling is called Yi Xue, also called Shushu. The core of the theory is Yin-Yang, Five Elements, Heavenly Stems and Earthly Branches and Bagua and Yi Jing. The theoretical system is relatively complex and profound. Fortune-telling in a narrow sense is the prediction of the birth date, while fortune-telling in a broad sense includes Ziwei Dou Shu, facial palmistry, Bagua Six Yao, Qi Men Dun Jia, geographical Feng Shui, etc. Ancient divination and divination methods are both fortune-telling.

Similar to Western zodiac legends, Chinese fortune telling is another traditional culture.

1. Subjective verification - self-subjectivity

Experience said: He does not know me, but he describes me very clearly. He knows my past and present life, which is really amazing!

Experiment says: Even if he says everything the other way around, you will still feel that it makes sense because your brain will consciously conduct "subjective verification."

In 1948, Professor Bertram R. Forer conducted an experiment. He asked his students to take a personality test questionnaire. After the students painstakingly filled out the questionnaire, Forer told everyone that the teacher will analyze the questionnaires of each classmate, and everyone can get the results of their own personality analysis. The next day, Professor Forer prepared a bunch of identical personality analysis reports and brought them to the classroom. He gave one copy to each of the students, and then asked the students to rate how well the fake personality analysis reports matched their own personalities. The results showed that the average degree of compliance was as high as 85%! The students all said: Teacher, you are so awesome!

The above experiments are only a small part of the large amount of research conducted by Professor Forer. Professor Forer's research found that when faced with a vague description, people tend to match it with their own situation and then feel that it is accurate. This tendency is called the "Forer effect." Psychologists believe that the "Forer effect" can explain why some people believe in pseudoscience, such as astrology, tarot cards, psychological testing games, etc.

In psychology, the cause of the "Forer effect" is considered to be the function of "subjective verification". Subjective verification means that when there is an opinion that specifically describes you, you are more likely to accept this opinion.

In our minds, "self" occupies most of the space, and everything about "me" is important. Our license plate numbers, cell phone ringtones, computer desktops, and bedroom wallpapers are all carefully designed to reflect our unique personality.

Subjective validation can affect us primarily because our hearts want to believe it. If we want to believe something, we can always collect all kinds of evidence to support ourselves. Even if it is an unrelated matter, we can still find a logic to make it fit our own vision. Xiaoqiang in the next dormitory crashed his car. Why, who told this kid not to believe in Brother Chun?

2. Fabricating the future - the unknown of fate

Some people don’t know what fortune-telling, feng shui, etc. are all about, so they explain it randomly, or think that they are superstitious. It is the people who are most fascinated, and there are many of them.

Buddha disapproves of fortune-telling because once a person understands cause and effect, he knows that all his current experiences are determined by the karma he has done in the past, and the karma he has done now determines his future, so he has no confidence in his future. Obviously, there is no need to forget it. It's just because I'm confused that I calculate it.

People are unpredictable about their future, and the results of fortune telling seem to be a path of reference. Once you follow it, it can be helpful not to just sit back and enjoy the success, but it all requires your own efforts.

Fortune telling and other techniques can only help others solve temporary emergencies, but it is difficult to truly help people solve their problems. However, all magic is based on the theory of the Great Dao, so it sounds reliable. As long as it is a fortune-telling that does not harm others, we can use it as a warning not to believe that our fate has been determined.

I believe that what the sages left us is a key to the truth. The real treasure is not the key but the truth we are to unlock.

3. Probabilistic events - the selectivity of information

Inaccurate things will not be said everywhere and have no communication value. Only accurate things will be spread, so what can be heard It's usually "accurate".

In essence, this is still a question of mathematical probability. ?

Due to the accuracy and inaccuracy time and time again, fortune tellers can slowly accumulate their own loyal customers. ?I remember there seems to be a story in the United States. A person sent a letter to many people to predict tomorrow's stock market. Half guessed that it would rise and half guessed that it would fall. The next day, continue writing to only the half who guessed correctly. After several rounds of this, a stock god was born.

Fortune-telling is just a kind of guessing, which adds the guesser’s subjective assumptions and the guessed person’s good wishes. It is different from a naked scam, it is just consensual.

Summary: As the old saying goes: You know your destiny at thirty. Be your own fortune teller, prepare yourself mentally in advance, deal with conflicts and events, and avoid conflicts to the extreme. It is better to control your own destiny.

Relevant information and pictures come from the Internet: search through Baidu

Relevant reference sources are as follows:

/bbst/201305/t20130513_3220976_3.html

/s/blog_531cc13b0100buyi.html

/group/topic/6012529/