At this stage, because some multinational enterprises have to cancel new projects or have decided to cancel some new projects, this may lead to the early dismissal of their recruited foreigners, so the housing supply in the sublease market continues to rise. In addition, the current market situation has created an opportunity for the lessee to obtain the rent with core competitiveness from the sublease sales market, and this kind of housing can give more use value to its rent budget.
Retail market As far as the retail market is concerned, from 20 17 to 20 19, Jabodetabek is expected to provide a total supply of nearly 1 10,000 square meters. However, in 20 16, less than 50% of the new real estate supply is expected to be newly built. The newly opened shopping center has achieved high satisfaction in renting shops. The vast majority of rental shops have opened, which makes the overall occupancy rate rise slightly. The catering industry will continue to be a stimulating factor of demand.
1. Supply forecast analysis
In 20 17, Jakarta is expected to create two new shopping centers, and the new supply is expected to reach 68,000 square meters. At the same time, two shopping centers located in the GreaterJakarta area on 20 16 are gradually opening. The total supply reached 2.47 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 4%. It is expected that a large number of shopping centers will be developed in Greater Jakarta, but most of them are still in the process of overall planning, including the future supply of Jakarta. In 20 16, four shopping centers gradually opened, creating an additional supply of 12 10000 square meters. These four shopping centers created a total supply of 4.57 million square meters, up 2.7% year-on-year.
2. Market demand analysis
Although newly-built shopping centers can generally reach the promised occupancy rate of 85% in operation, by the end of 20 16, the overall service commitment occupancy rate of most newly-built shopping centers is less than 50%. The catering industry will continue to be a stimulating factor of demand, while the shopping center, home furniture and entertainment (cinema) industries will continue to expand.
3. Prediction and analysis of occupancy rate
After the decline in the first three quarters, the first occupancy rate of 20 16 increased in the fourth quarter, reaching 85.4%. Bian Xiao suspects that the occupancy rate of 20 17 may continue to rise, and the new supply will decrease. In 20 16, the occupancy rate of Greater Jakarta fluctuated. During the remaining 20 16 period, the increase in high-tech supply led to a decrease in occupancy rate of 2% to 82%.
4. Rent forecast analysis
The rent in Jakarta increased by 4. 1% year-on-year, reaching 563.328 million Indonesian rupees (US$ 42)/square meter/month, while the rent in Greater Jakarta increased appropriately, reaching 344.734 million (US$ 26)/square meter/month. The rental asking price in 20 17 years is expected to increase, mainly due to the high-quality shopping center in Jakarta. Sales will obviously endanger the estimated rental price.
According to the data, in 20 1 1 year, the scale of commercial real estate business in Indonesia reached 189 billion US dollars, and it is estimated that it will be about1900 million US dollars in 203 1 year. Because of China's strong consumption power and rapid economic development, Indonesian, Thai, Philippine and other parliaments have gradually caught up with Singapore's real estate business scale. 2065 438+06-2065 438+09 The office buildings in Jakarta, Indonesia and Manila, Philippines are abundant. In the real estate industry, Indonesia with a large population will become a well-deserved champion. Naturally, Indonesia's real estate industry is still subject to backward infrastructure.