House price forecast for the next decade in 2025
1. Since last year, all kinds of hoarding houses have been slowly put on the market for sale, and the property market has begun to show a situation of oversupply. If the supply exceeds demand in the property market, the price will be more favorable, or the preferential strength will be greater, and buying a house will be more favorable.
2. Now the banks have cut interest rates. This great news has appeared in some banks, which means that the interest on housing loans is less, and buying a house will be more favorable.
3. The change of house price is related to policy regulation. The greater the policy control, the more stable the house price, or the house price will fall. At present, the policy is more and more powerful for the regulation of the property market, and many policies on the regulation of the property market have been introduced, such as levying property tax and restricting the purchase of houses, so that house prices will not rise as fast as before, but may decline, and buying houses will be more favorable.
I remember that the report of the 19th National Congress pointed out that the main contradiction in China is: "In the new era, the main contradiction in our society has been transformed into the contradiction between the people's growing need for a better life and the unbalanced development." People's growing demand for a better life, the house should also be a more necessary demand.
House prices also seem unlikely to fall. During the period of 10, the sales volume generally maintained a growth rate. Although the sales decreased in some years, the sales increased (the national sales of new houses and commercial houses in the previous1September12441700 million yuan, an increase of 7.3%), indicating that house prices will not fall. It is difficult for housing prices in good areas to come down in the next decade. The Academy of Social Sciences also predicts that the huge potential and expectation of housing development will change around 2025, and the window of opportunity for property market regulation will be closed around 2025.
In the next decade, the housing demand in China will be upgraded, and the differentiation of housing prices in different lots will become more and more obvious, but the housing prices in good lots will be difficult to come down in the next decade. Because people's needs are escalating, many families need to improve their housing. In the next few decades, hundreds of millions of people will enter cities and towns from rural areas, become citizens, and live and live, not only in affordable housing, but in commercial housing.
In the future, there will be a great market for the effective supply of housing to meet people's needs for a better life. This poses a greater challenge to developers, who should be able to predict the market and provide more effective supply to expand their market share. There will definitely be survival of the fittest in this process.
8 cities with doubled house prices in the future
Shenzhen 1
There is no doubt that Shenzhen will be selected, because Beishangguang is the first developed city in China. Because the rapid economic development has attracted more and more outstanding talents to stay in Shenzhen, the demand for houses in Shenzhen is naturally increasing. The rise in house prices was completely unexpected.
2. Xiamen
The four seasons in Xiamen are warmer, and Xiamen itself is developing better. Because of its beautiful scenery and excellent economic strength, Xiamen has also attracted many people to stay there. House prices naturally rose.
3. Shanghai
There is no doubt that housing prices in Shanghai are rising. One of the first cities in China to get rich was Shanghai. The world-famous Oriental Pearl, two international airports and excellent employment opportunities attract more and more people to stay in Shanghai.
4. Beijing
The rise in housing prices in Beijing is also expected. Beijing is our capital, and education and medical care are in the forefront. In fact, Beijing itself is a very attractive city, and Beijing's housing prices are also rising.
5. Guangzhou
The rise in housing prices in Guangzhou is also obvious. At that time, Guangzhou was one of the cities in China that got rich first. After the local economy developed, it attracted more and more talents to stay in Guangzhou. Therefore, house prices have also risen correspondingly because of population growth.
6. Tianjin
Tianjin is very close to Beijing, because Beijing's urban circle is getting bigger and bigger, and now it borders Tianjin, so Tianjin has begun to develop. And Tianjin itself is not bad. Coupled with the convenient conditions close to the capital, Tianjin's housing prices are slowly rising.
The above is the relevant content of Bian Xiao's "House Price Forecast in the Next Ten Years 2025".